Tournament: Brazil Cup Quarterfinal
Date & Kick-Off Time: 2024.09.13, 20:45
Atlético Mineiro will host São Paulo in the second leg of their Brazil Cup quarterfinal on September 13, 2024. Having won the first leg 1-0, Atlético Mineiro is in a strong position to advance, while São Paulo will need to overcome their recent struggles to stage a comeback.
Key Statistics and Trends
- Atlético Mineiro: Has won 3 of their last 4 matches.
- São Paulo: Has suffered back-to-back losses.
- Common Scoreline: The most frequent scoreline between these teams is 1-0 in favor of Atlético Mineiro (8 times).
- First-Half Performance: Both Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo win the first half in 35% of their matches.
Possible Line-Ups
Atlético Mineiro:
- Goalkeeper: Everson
- Defenders: Alonso, Saravia, Battaglia
- Midfielders: Arana, Bernard, Franco, Otávio, Scarpa
- Forwards: Paulinho, Hulk
São Paulo:
- Goalkeeper: Rafael
- Defenders: Wellington, Sabino, Arboleda, Rafinha
- Midfielders: Luis Gustavo, Bobadilla, Wellington Rato, Lucas Moura, Luciano
- Forward: Calleri
Team Overview and Form
Atlético Mineiro ("The Roosters"):
Atlético Mineiro had a solid season last year, finishing third in the league. However, they have struggled to replicate their form this season and currently sit in ninth place. Despite these struggles, they have advanced in the Copa Libertadores and won the first leg of this Brazil Cup tie. Known for their attacking play, the team averages 1.39 goals per match but also concedes 1.43 goals per game.
São Paulo ("The Tricolor"):
São Paulo has been inconsistent, recently suffering back-to-back losses, including the 1-0 defeat to Atlético Mineiro in the first leg of this quarterfinal. While their defense is solid, conceding only around one goal per game, their attack lacks the firepower to consistently outscore opponents, averaging 1.32 goals per match. São Paulo will need a more assertive performance if they hope to overturn the deficit in this crucial fixture.
Head-to-Head Matches
Atlético Mineiro has won their last four encounters with São Paulo, including a 1-0 victory in the first leg of this cup tie.
Tactical Analysis and Predictions
- Atlético Mineiro: With a 1-0 aggregate lead, Atlético Mineiro will likely focus on maintaining defensive solidity while looking to exploit counter-attacks. Hulk will be crucial in leading the attack, and the team will aim to keep São Paulo under pressure.
- São Paulo: São Paulo needs to take a more aggressive approach if they want to overturn the deficit. However, with their recent inconsistency, they may struggle to break down Atlético's defense. Lucas Moura and Calleri will be key players in their attempt to get back into the game.
Betting Prediction
Given Atlético Mineiro’s advantage from the first leg and São Paulo’s recent struggles, a bet on Atlético Mineiro with a 0 handicap offers good value at odds of 1.65.
Prediction: Atlético Mineiro to win with a 0 goal handicap (odds: 1.65).
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