Tournament: Brazil Cup Quarterfinal
Date & Kick-Off Time: 2024.09.13, 20:45
Flamengo will host Bahia in the second leg of their Brazil Cup quarterfinal on September 13, 2024. After a 1-0 away win in the first leg, Flamengo is well-positioned to advance, while Bahia faces an uphill battle to overturn the deficit against one of Brazil’s top teams.
Key Statistics and Trends
- Flamengo: Has won two of their last three matches.
- Bahia: Has failed to win their last three games.
- First-Half Performance: Flamengo wins the first half in 40% of matches, while Bahia wins in 35%.
Possible Line-Ups
Flamengo:
- Goalkeeper: Matheus Cunha Queiroz
- Defenders: Ayrton, Leo Pereira, Fabrício Bruno, Varela
- Midfielders: Léo Ortiz, Pulgar, Gerson, De La Cruz, Luiz Araújo
- Forward: Bruno Henrique
Bahia:
- Goalkeeper: Marcos Felipe
- Defenders: Luciano, Kanu, Lman Xavier, Arias
- Midfielders: Jean Lucas, Caio Alexandre, Cauly, Everton Ribeiro
- Forwards: Tasciano, Everaldo
Team Overview and Form
Flamengo ("The Vultures"):
Flamengo is one of the most successful teams in Brazil over the past few years, winning multiple league titles and Copa Libertadores trophies. Despite a somewhat inconsistent league campaign, they remain a formidable team. Their attacking strength, averaging 1.63 goals per match, was evident in their 1-0 first-leg win over Bahia. With the advantage of home support, Flamengo is expected to manage this game cautiously and seal their progression to the semifinals.
Bahia ("The Tricolor"):
Bahia has struggled in recent matches, failing to win their last three games. Their form has dipped, and they find themselves facing an uphill task in this second leg against Flamengo. Despite a decent attacking output of 1.36 goals per match, their defense will need to be rock-solid to prevent Flamengo from extending their advantage. Bahia’s hopes will rest on an early goal to unsettle the home side.
Head-to-Head Matches
Flamengo’s 1-0 victory in the first leg was their ninth win in recent head-to-head meetings against Bahia. Flamengo’s dominance in this fixture gives them a psychological advantage heading into this second leg.
Tactical Analysis and Predictions
- Flamengo: With a 1-0 advantage from the first leg, Flamengo will likely prioritize game management, relying on their solid defense and lethal counter-attacks. Bruno Henrique will be a key figure in their attack, while Gerson and Pulgar will look to control the midfield and dictate the tempo.
- Bahia: Bahia needs to be more aggressive, but they must strike a balance between pushing for a goal and keeping Flamengo at bay. Jean Lucas and Caio Alexandre will need to provide creativity in midfield, while Everaldo will have to be clinical with any opportunities.
Betting Prediction
Given Flamengo’s strong defensive setup and Bahia’s need to take risks, this match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. A bet on "total under 2.5 goals" offers solid value, with odds of 1.727.
Prediction: Total under 2.5 goals (odds: 1.727).
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