Truth or Fiction: The NBA's 2024 free-agency course was a failure

Let's get a deeper dive to see if groups are salvaging some benefit from their disappointing winter deals.

Truth or Fiction: The NBA's 2024 free-agency course was a failure-DataVictoryTruth or Fiction: The NBA's 2024 free-agency course was a failure-DataVictory

Each week during the 2024-25 NBA time, we may take a deeper dive into some of the league's biggest stories in an attempt to ascertain whether styles are based more in reality or literature moving forward.

Truth or Fiction: The NBA's 2024 free-agency course was a failure

The Philadelphia 76ers, who have the NBA's worst record in its first quarter, are direct proof that the 2024 free-agency course was a failure, and no team paid more on pay this summer than that.

Permit us dive deeper into that question to see if team managed to salvage some benefit.

First a reintroduction to Cost Per Win ( CPW), a statistic created here in 2016 to measure the cost of each player's contributions to a team's success in a given season: We take the average annual value ( AAV ) of a player's contract, divide it by that player's win shares ( WS ) and extrapolate the data out to a full season. This provides us with an estimated accounts of how much groups are paying their people for each win.

We separated the 56 free agents who changed teams over the summer into four categories: big-ticket ($ 12, 859, 001+ ), mid-tier ($ 5, 183, 000-$ 12, 859, 000 ), low-cost ($ 1, 157, 153-$ 5, 182, 999 ) and two-way players. It is harder to correlate significance across levels. Team expect to pay more per gain for max-salaried people. Use ranges. Jobs are different. Minimum-salaried people do not maintain organizations. In fact, the addition of a high-priced completely realtor has been known to attract lower-cost people, as was the case in Philadelphia.

2024 big-ticket NBA completely officials

$24,630,000

1.5

$3,003,659

$16,666,667

0.7

$4,355,401

$26,000,000

1.1

$4,900,222

$22,000,000

0.7

$6,132,404

$29,000,000

0.1

$56,585,366

$52,896,235

0.1

$90,310,645

Only two of the first eight players, Detroit Pistons forward Tobias Harris and Sacramento Kings striking DeMar DeRozan, were big-ticket acquisitions in free agency, and all but one have recorded at least one gain share in the season's opening quarter.

And who else was bidding for DeRozan or Harris?

Granted, Isaiah Hartenstein made his time album for the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday, the same day Paul George hyperextended his left leg for the next time in five days. We should hope therefore that Harris has made a greater influence on the Pistons than George has on the Philadelphia 76ers, though that is no less disconcerting for the Pacers fans who rode Harris out of town.

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Take a moment to consider how significant the filing of George, the most accomplished player in the lake of cheap free agents, may be for Philly. He has played more than 56 games during his contract season's five years as the only player however effective from the 2010 review group. He has had significant injuries to every one of his legs, and will be paid$ 56.6 million in 2028, when he turns 38 years old.

It does not support that maximum-salaried friends Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey may be on the jury, possibly. At some point the three of them will enjoy sustained minutes together. They're probably going to win game. But it bears repeating: The 76ers have so far paid George$ 9 million to help one-tenth of a win communicate.

2024 mid-tier NBA completely officials

$5,426,400

1

$1,058,810

$10,460,000

1.7

$1,200,574

$9,439,024

1.2

$1,342,951

$9,000,000

1

$1,646,341

$6,000,000

0.7

$1,777,003

$10,098,333

0.8

$2,001,194

$10,000,000

0.9

$2,168,022

$9,000,000

0.4

$4,390,244

$8,760,176

0.3

$4,985,466

$12,822,000

0.3

$7,297,073

Four of those above 88 people received mid-tier agreements this previous summer.

We also had 88 games of film on Kris Dunn in Utah, where he was his usual All-Defensive-caliber self and added a 3-point shot ( 40 % on 147 attempts ). Imagine no purchasing those services for short-term funding. Yet the L. A. Clipper landed him on July 1 for the citizen's midlevel different. Pays to get first — and right.

Same goes for Naji Marshall, a hard-scrapping wing whose 3-point shooting spiked to a career-high 38.7 % last season. The Dallas Mavericks may be encouraged that he is still producing important benefit as they wait for his chance to reach the indicate despite the fact that that has fallen 13 % in the first half of the season.

Chris Paul, Buddy Hield, Malik Beasley, Jonas Valanciunas and Derrick Jones Jr. were known supplies when they entered free agency, and they are delivering on their promises for mid-tier pay. What Minnesota Timberwolves ' Sixth Guy of the Year Naz Reid provided last season puts them all on track to earn a few get shares this time. In other words,$ 2 million a win is good value for a mid-tier salary.

2024 low-cost NBA free officials

$2,527,660

1.1

$448,365

$3,003,427

1.2

$488,362

$2,087,519

0.7

$509,151

$2,988,550

0.7

$780,980

$3,003,427

0.6

$915,679

$2,425,403

0.5

$946,499

$3,303,771

0.6

$1,074,397

$3,303,771

0.4

$1,309,421

$2,425,403

0.3

$1,478,904

$2,800,834

0.3

$1,821,681

In July, the Memphis Grizzlies gave Jay Huff a two-year deal, and a week later, they gave him a fully guaranteed income for the following two years. He has more than earned that bargain.

We should not be surprised that Tyus Jones appears on this checklist. His Phoenix Suns received a present from them as he prioritized a sizable part to demonstrate his true worth for the summer of 2025.

And hey, the Sixers at least found some benefit in this salary range by signing Guerschon Yabusele, whose price was immediately apparent from his performances against Team USA at the Paris 2012 Olympics.

It is hard to make a grave mistake at this stage of payment. However, the Pacers even have Eric Gordon and his -0.2 earn stocks.

But we should go back to the Trimmers, whose first order of business in free agency was to mark Kevin Porter Jr. to a minimum commitment. His -0,3 win stocks rank among the fewest players who have played 275 games. The Clippers are paying Butler to render their team worse, and that is nothing any team wants, particularly from this player.

How could the Clipper have gotten so wrong about one player while putting thus much weight on another? Makes you wonder how many chance plays a part in the single-season victory of minimum-paid players. Adding Jones at that income is a no-brainer. But you do not understand what you are going to find year-to-year from people like Taurean Prince, Cameron Payne, Javonte Green and Mason Plumlee. Wish for their best.

2024 two-way NBA completely officials

$578,577

0.7

$151,196

$578,577

0.2

$564,465

$578,577

0.1

$1,128,931

$578,577

0.1

$1,199,489

Which brings us to the two-way team. Any efforts at that level are significant.

A subsequent to reward Moussa Diabaté. The Clippers — yes, those exact Clippers— declined his$ 2.1 million qualifying present, making an sport 6-foot-11 rim protector a free agent. No single offered the least. The Charlotte Hornets took a two-way rider, and he is owning his 16 minutes a day. He is efficient in his limited offensive possessions, rebounds like wild ( 16.3 per 36 minutes ) and holds opponents in check.

Nevertheless, the big-ticket free officials were a failure, the mid-tier free officials are decent, and the real benefit was among the low-cost free agents. And even then there are few difference-makers. The issue is not whether the 2024 free agency category was a failure but whether free agency as a tool for team-building.

Determination: Truth. The NBA's 2024 free-agency course was a failure.



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