Tournament: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL
Date & Kick-Off Time: 2024.09.07, 19:30
In the 7th round of the South American World Cup qualifiers, Uruguay will face Paraguay at home. Under the guidance of Marcelo Bielsa, Uruguay will look to secure a key victory, while Paraguay, struggling to find form, hopes to upset the odds in this challenging fixture.
Key Statistics and Trends
- Uruguay: Has lost only one of their last seven matches.
- Paraguay: Has won only one of their last eight matches.
- First-Half Performance: Uruguay wins the first half in 47% of their matches, while Paraguay does so in only 9%.
- Scoring Patterns: Uruguay scores 46% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.
Possible Line-Ups
Uruguay:
- Goalkeeper: Rochet
- Defenders: Viña, Cáceres, Olaza, Nández
- Midfielders: De Arrascaeta, Ugarte, Valverde
- Forwards: M. Araújo, Pellistri, Suárez
Paraguay:
- Goalkeeper: Morínigo
- Defenders: Jiménez, Alderete, Balbuena, Velázquez
- Midfielders: Bobadilla, Villasanti, Enciso, Almirón, Sosa
- Forward: Bareiro
Team Overview and Form
Uruguay ("Los Charrúas"):
Uruguay has undergone a transition phase since the departure of long-serving coach Óscar Tabárez. Under Marcelo Bielsa, they have shown signs of improvement, finishing the autumn stretch with 13 points and notable victories, including a win over Argentina. However, they are currently dealing with suspensions affecting key players, including Núñez, Betancur, and Araújo. Despite these absences, the team remains solid, with veterans like Luis Suárez still leading the attack.
Paraguay:
Paraguay has struggled in recent times, managing only five points in their qualifying campaign and scoring just one goal in their last five matches. Their performance in the Copa América was poor, losing all three of their group stage matches. Paraguay appointed Gustavo Alfaro as their new coach to try to revive their fortunes, but they face a tough challenge against Uruguay.
Head-to-Head Matches
Uruguay has dominated this fixture in recent years, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 matches against Paraguay and winning their last two meetings with 1-0 scorelines.
Tactical Analysis and Predictions
- Uruguay: Even with several key players missing, Uruguay’s system under Bielsa remains dynamic. They will rely on controlling the midfield, with Valverde and De Arrascaeta dictating the pace of the game. Suárez will be crucial for finishing chances up front.
- Paraguay: Paraguay will likely adopt a defensive approach, focusing on limiting Uruguay’s attacking opportunities and countering through players like Almirón and Enciso. However, their recent lack of scoring power is a concern.
Betting Prediction
Uruguay’s home advantage and recent form make them clear favorites to win this match, even with several absences. A bet on Uruguay to win is a solid option, with odds of 1.61.
Prediction: Uruguay to win (odds: 1.61).
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