Tournament: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL
Date & Kick-Off Time: 2024.09.11, 20:30
Paraguay will host Brazil in the 8th round of the South American World Cup qualifiers on September 11, 2024. Brazil, under Dorival Júnior, will be looking to build on their recent win, while Paraguay will aim to improve their form after a challenging Copa América campaign.
Key Statistics and Trends
- Paraguay: Lost all three matches at the Copa América.
- Brazil: Is unbeaten in their last nine matches in regular time.
- Common Scoreline: The most frequent result between these teams is 0-0 (three times).
- First-Half Performance: Paraguay wins the first half in 8% of their matches, while Brazil wins in 28%.
Possible Line-Ups
Paraguay:
- Goalkeeper: Fernández
- Defenders: Alonso, Alderete, Gómez, Velásquez
- Midfielders: Gómez, Cubas, Almirón, Bobadilla, Enciso
- Forward: Pitta
Brazil:
- Goalkeeper: Alisson
- Defenders: Arana, Gabriel, Marquinhos, Danilo
- Midfielders: Bruno Guimarães, André, Lucas Paquetá
- Forwards: Vinícius Júnior, Luiz Henrique, Rodrigo
Team Overview and Form
Paraguay ("The Guaraníes"):
Paraguay has a strong footballing history, but their fortunes have dwindled in recent World Cup cycles. Gustavo Alfaro’s team has struggled in the current qualifiers, managing only one win, a 1-0 victory against Bolivia. Their Copa América performance was disappointing, losing all three matches. Paraguay will look to adopt a defensive strategy against a potent Brazil attack.
Brazil ("Seleção"):
Brazil has been a consistent force in international football, but they are coming off a tough period following their World Cup quarterfinal exit in Qatar. Under new coach Dorival Júnior, Brazil has shown flashes of brilliance but struggled to find consistency, with Neymar out injured and some unconvincing results. Despite this, they recently secured a 1-0 win over Ecuador, with Rodrigo netting the decisive goal. Brazil will be keen to secure another win and continue their upward momentum in the qualifiers.
Head-to-Head Matches
Brazil has dominated recent encounters against Paraguay, winning their last three meetings. Paraguay has often played defensively against Brazil, resulting in low-scoring games.
Tactical Analysis and Predictions
- Paraguay: Paraguay is expected to adopt a defensive, compact approach to minimize Brazil’s attacking threat. Almirón and Enciso will be key in leading any counter-attacks, but Paraguay will likely focus on containing Brazil's pace and creativity.
- Brazil: Brazil, despite their attacking firepower with Rodrigo, Vinícius Júnior, and Luiz Henrique, may find it challenging to break down a deep Paraguayan defense. They will rely on quick transitions from midfield, with Bruno Guimarães and Paquetá tasked with controlling the tempo.
Betting Prediction
Given Paraguay’s likely defensive setup and Brazil’s ability to control possession, this match is expected to be low-scoring. A bet on "total under 2.5 goals" is a solid option, with odds of 1.68.
Prediction: Total under 2.5 goals (odds: 1.68).
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