Tournament: Série B Brazil
Date & Kick-Off Time: 2024.09.04, 20:30
In the 24th round of Série B, Guarani faces Coritiba, with both teams struggling at the bottom of the table. While Coritiba's season seems to have run its course without much to fight for, Guarani is still clinging to hopes of a miraculous escape from the relegation zone.
Key Statistics and Trends
- Guarani: Has won 3 times in their last 5 matches.
- Coritiba: Has won their previous 3 meetings against Guarani.
- Common Scoreline: The most frequent result between these two teams is a 1-0 win for Coritiba, which has occurred 5 times.
- Goal Timings: Guarani scores 26% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes, while Coritiba finds 21% of their goals between the 0th and 15th minutes.
- Consistency: Guarani has scored at least once in their last 8 matches.
- First-Half Performance: Guarani wins the first half in 21% of games, while Coritiba does so in 25% of matches.
Possible Line-Ups
Guarani:
- Goalkeeper: Pegorari
- Defenders: Jefferson, Salustiano, Douglas, Pacheco
- Midfielders: Airton Sousa, Matheus Bueno, Gabriel Bispo, Joao Victor
- Forwards: Dias, Caio Dantas
Coritiba:
- Goalkeeper: Morisco da Silva
- Defenders: Bruno Melo, Marcelo Conceição, Thalisson Pereira Moreira, Milouski
- Midfielders: Gomez, Vinicius Romualdo dos Santos, Frizzo, Jean Gabriel, Vieira Pires
- Forward: Robson
Head-to-Head
Coritiba has dominated the recent head-to-head encounters, winning all 5 of the last meetings, including a 1-0 victory in May.
Team Overview and Form
Guarani ("The Bugre"):
Once champions of Brazil, Guarani’s recent history has been less successful, with the club only briefly returning to Série A in 2010. Currently sitting at the bottom of the table, Guarani’s season has been a tough one, though recent performances have seen some improvement. With 3 wins in their last 5 matches, including draws with Santos, they will hope to keep their momentum going.
Coritiba ("The Glorioso"):
Coritiba has also had a disappointing season, following relegation from Série A in 2023. The team has seen many of their key players leave, and they currently sit in the lower half of Série B. However, under the leadership of Jorginho, who returned after coaching in Thailand, Coritiba has seen a resurgence, earning 10 points in their last 5 games.
Tactical Analysis and Predictions
- Guarani: The hosts are relying on a more stable defense, with Pegorari in goal and a solid backline. Their attack, led by Dias and Caio Dantas, will look to break Coritiba's defense, especially in the first half.
- Coritiba: Despite their poor start to the season, Coritiba has improved recently. Their defensive setup has been key in their resurgence, and they will look to frustrate Guarani, relying on Robson to lead their attack.
Betting Prediction
Although Coritiba has had the upper hand in previous meetings, Guarani’s home advantage and recent form suggest they could be the favorites. However, total goals over 2.0 is a solid betting option, with an odd of 1.89, considering both teams' improved attacking performances.
Prediction: Total goals over 2.0 (odd: 1.89).
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